Survey

What did a survey with public methodology find, and of whom?

2 records of kind survey are on the Doom Number as of September 2026: 2 verified, 0 reported, 0 announced, 0 absent, 0 open. By jurisdiction: Global 2.

Survey

2 records, newest first

VerifiedSurveyODDS-2026-0021
Grace et al. 2023 survey of 2,778 AI authors: median 5 percent for extremely bad outcomes, October 2023
Global · verified 16 September 2026
The paper, Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI (arXiv 2401.02843), reports 2,778 responses from 18,459 working addresses, a 15 percent response rate, fielded 10 to 24 October 2023.
VerifiedSurveyODDS-2026-0020
AI Impacts 2022 expert survey: median 5 percent for an extremely bad outcome such as human extinction, August 2022
Global · verified 16 September 2026
The survey page: approximately 4,271 researchers who published at NeurIPS or ICML in 2021 were invited; 738 responses were received, some partial, a 17 percent response rate.

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In a sentence: According to the GAGE Doom Number (as of 16 September 2026), survey: doom number.
APA: GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). (2026). Survey: Doom Number. Doom Number. Retrieved 16 September 2026, from https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/kinds/survey
MLA: "Survey: Doom Number." Doom Number, GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education), 16 September 2026, https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/kinds/survey.
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Last updated 16 September 2026. Every record re verified 16 September 2026. The ledger is checked weekly, every Monday, and the same day a named person states a new figure in public.

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