Jurisdiction

Canada: Doom Number

Canada carries 3 records on the Doom Number as of September 2026: 1 verified at a primary source, 2 reported, 0 announced with no document yet, 0 searched and absent, and 0 open questions. By kind: stated probability 2, characterization 1.

Stated probability

2 records

Reported, primary not reachedStated probabilityODDS-2026-0008
Yoshua Bengio: around 20 percent probability that it turns out catastrophic, July 2023
Canada · verified 16 September 2026
ABC News (Australia), Background Briefing, 15 July 2023, quotes Bengio: I got around, like, 20 per cent probability that it turns out catastrophic.
Reported, primary not reachedStated probabilityODDS-2026-0007
Geoffrey Hinton: 10 to 20 percent risk that AI eventually takes control from humans, April 2025
Canada · verified 16 September 2026
CBS News, 26 April 2025 (CBS Mornings, Analisa Novak and Brook Silva-Braga): the AI pioneer estimates a 10 to 20 percent risk that artificial intelligence will eventually take control from humans.

Characterization

1 record

VerifiedCharacterizationODDS-2026-0009
Yoshua Bengio: even a 1 percent chance of something going really bad is not acceptable, April 2026
Canada · verified 16 September 2026
The 80,000 Hours transcript, published 16 April 2026, quotes Bengio: even a 1 percent chance of something going really, really bad is not acceptable to me.

Answers

What people ask about Canada

What number did a named person put on catastrophe, and when in Canada?

Yoshua Bengio: around 20 percent probability that it turns out catastrophic, July 2023 (reported, primary not reached); Geoffrey Hinton: 10 to 20 percent risk that AI eventually takes control from humans, April 2025 (reported, primary not reached). Each record page quotes the document and says what it changes for a reader deciding how much weight to give a number.

What did a named person say in words, without a number in Canada?

Yoshua Bengio: even a 1 percent chance of something going really bad is not acceptable, April 2026 (verified). Each record page quotes the document and says what it changes for a reader deciding how much weight to give a number.

What has nobody settled in Canada?

No open question for Canada is on the ledger yet.

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Verdicts

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Free to reuse under CC BY 4.0, with attribution.

In a sentence: According to the GAGE Doom Number (as of 16 September 2026), canada on the doom number.
APA: GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). (2026). Canada on the Doom Number. Doom Number. Retrieved 16 September 2026, from https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/jurisdictions/ca
MLA: "Canada on the Doom Number." Doom Number, GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education), 16 September 2026, https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/jurisdictions/ca.
Chicago: GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). "Canada on the Doom Number." Doom Number. Last modified 16 September 2026. https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/jurisdictions/ca.
Permalink: https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/jurisdictions/ca

Last updated 16 September 2026. Every record re verified 16 September 2026. The ledger is checked weekly, every Monday, and the same day a named person states a new figure in public.

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