Sam Altman: the pacing of AI development should be slower than it otherwise could be, September 2026
Sam Altman, chief executive of OpenAI, is quoted in Associated Press reporting of 14 September 2026 saying that the pacing of AI development should be slower than it otherwise could be, in response to Dario Amodei's essay of 12 September. AP also records that Altman signed the May 2023 statement on extinction risk. The AP text carries no probability from him; the ledger records a characterization only.
The verdict
Reported, primary not reached
A reliable secondary source carries it, and the primary document could not be reached. Printed with this label, never as verified.
Key facts
What the sources say
- Record ID
- ODDS-2026-0011
- Kind
- Characterization
- Jurisdiction
- United States
- Last verified
- Added
- AP (via ABC News), 14 September 2026, by Alex Veiga: Altman wrote that the pacing of AI development should be slower than it otherwise could be.
- AP places the remark as a response to Amodei's essay We Must Pace the Frontier of 12 September 2026 (ODDS-2026-0005).
- AP records that Altman and Amodei both signed the 2023 Center for AI Safety statement that extinction risk from AI should be a global priority (ODDS-2026-0017).
- Altman's own post was not reached; the statement rests on the AP account.
Dimension by dimension
5 dimensions, each one stated, silent or open
Role at the time, Where it was said, Timeframe named, Stated basis, Later revision. Stated means the document you can open below says it; silent means the ledger read the document and it does not.
- Role at the timeReported
- Chief executive, OpenAIABC News (AP), New warnings about the risks of AI to humanity revive a long running debate, secondary source, 14 September 2026.
- Where it was saidReported
- Written response to Amodei's essay, as reported by AP on 14 September 2026ABC News (AP), New warnings about the risks of AI to humanity revive a long running debate, secondary source, 14 September 2026.
- Timeframe namedReported
- None statedABC News (AP), New warnings about the risks of AI to humanity revive a long running debate, secondary source, 14 September 2026.
- Stated basisReported
- None stated in the AP accountABC News (AP), New warnings about the risks of AI to humanity revive a long running debate, secondary source, 14 September 2026.
- Later revisionOpen
- No later revision found as of 2026-09-16
What it changes
For a reader deciding how much weight to give a number
A one line agreement from a rival chief executive tells you that a policy position has crossed company lines, which matters for what happens next; it tells you nothing about odds, and the reader should resist reading a probability into a statement about pace. Its weight is that two companies now stand behind a stated direction that can be checked against what they do.
Sources
What this record was verified against
- ABC News (AP), New warnings about the risks of AI to humanity revive a long running debateSecondary · 14 September 2026
- WEAU (AP), Could AI escape human control? What to know about rising safety concernsSecondary · 14 September 2026
Related
Records that sit beside this one
Dario Amodei: we must slow the pace at which we improve AI capabilities, September 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
The essay on darioamodei.com states: we must slow the pace at which we improve the capabilities of AI models, progress will still seem fast, and we must make wise use of the time we gain.
Center for AI Safety Statement on AI Risk: extinction risk a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war, May 2023
Global · verified 16 September 2026
The statement text at safe.ai: mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war.
Pacing the Frontier statement: 1,386 industry signatories ask for tools to pace automated AI development, July 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
The statement text: we request that the US government support an international effort to develop the technical and governance tools needed to deliberately pace the frontier of automated AI development.
Jacob Coxon: a 10 percent extinction estimate attributed to him by AP, no such statement found, September 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
AP via ABC News and PBS NewsHour, 14 September 2026: an Anthropic researcher, Coxon, estimated a 10 percent chance of AI causing human extinction within the next decade.
Paul Christiano: 10 to 20 percent chance of AI takeover with many or most humans dead, April 2023
United States · verified 16 September 2026
Fortune, 3 May 2023, by Tristan Bove, quotes Christiano on Bankless: I think maybe there is a 10 to 20 percent chance of AI takeover, with many, most humans dead.
Daniel Kokotajlo: something like 70 percent that this goes horribly wrong, July 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
The Diary of a CEO episode page (Apple Podcasts listing), released 13 July 2026, describes Kokotajlo as a former OpenAI researcher and says he put the odds of catastrophe as high as 70 percent.
Cite this record
Free to reuse under CC BY 4.0, with attribution. The record ID ODDS-2026-0011 is permanent and is never reused.
- In a sentence
- According to the GAGE Doom Number (as of 16 September 2026), sam altman: the pacing of ai development should be slower than it otherwise could be, september 2026.
- APA
- GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). (2026). Sam Altman: the pacing of AI development should be slower than it otherwise could be, September 2026. Doom Number. Retrieved 16 September 2026, from https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0011-sam-altman-pacing-should-be-slower-than-it-otherwise-could-be-september-2026
- MLA
- "Sam Altman: the pacing of AI development should be slower than it otherwise could be, September 2026." Doom Number, GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education), 16 September 2026, https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0011-sam-altman-pacing-should-be-slower-than-it-otherwise-could-be-september-2026.
- Chicago
- GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). "Sam Altman: the pacing of AI development should be slower than it otherwise could be, September 2026." Doom Number. Last modified 16 September 2026. https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0011-sam-altman-pacing-should-be-slower-than-it-otherwise-could-be-september-2026.
- Permalink
- https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0011-sam-altman-pacing-should-be-slower-than-it-otherwise-could-be-september-2026
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