Center for AI Safety Statement on AI Risk: extinction risk a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war, May 2023
The Center for AI Safety published a one sentence statement on 30 May 2023: mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war. The page at safe.ai lists signatories headed by Geoffrey Hinton, Yoshua Bengio, Demis Hassabis, Sam Altman and Dario Amodei. It states no probability; it ranks a risk among priorities, which is a different claim.
The verdict
Verified
The document exists. The ledger fetched it at its publisher and quotes it.
Key facts
What the sources say
- Record ID
- ODDS-2026-0017
- Kind
- Signed statement
- Jurisdiction
- Global
- Last verified
- Added
- The statement text at safe.ai: mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war.
- The first named signatories as printed: Geoffrey Hinton, Yoshua Bengio, Demis Hassabis, Sam Altman, Dario Amodei, Dawn Song, Ted Lieu, Bill Gates, Ya-Qin Zhang, Ilya Sutskever.
- TechCrunch reported the release on 30 May 2023 and named Max Tegmark and Jaan Tallinn among signatories; the safe.ai page itself prints no date.
- The sentence contains no probability, no timeframe and no definition of extinction risk beyond the comparison it draws.
Dimension by dimension
5 dimensions, each one stated, silent or open
Role at the time, Where it was said, Timeframe named, Stated basis, Later revision. Stated means the document you can open below says it; silent means the ledger read the document and it does not.
- Role at the timeStated
- Signed statement organised by the Center for AI Safety, a San Francisco non profitCenter for AI Safety, Statement on AI Risk, primary source, 30 May 2023.
- Where it was saidStated
- Published at safe.ai and released to the press on 30 May 2023TechCrunch, OpenAI's Altman and other AI giants back warning of advanced AI as extinction risk, secondary source, 30 May 2023.
- Timeframe namedStated
- None statedCenter for AI Safety, Statement on AI Risk, primary source, 30 May 2023.
- Stated basisStated
- None stated; the page says the brevity was deliberate so that people who disagree on details could still signCenter for AI Safety, Statement on AI Risk, primary source, 30 May 2023.
- Later revisionStated
- Several signatories later stated individual figures (ODDS-2026-0007, ODDS-2026-0008, ODDS-2026-0006); the statement itself has not been revisedCenter for AI Safety, Statement on AI Risk, primary source, 30 May 2023.
What it changes
For a reader deciding how much weight to give a number
A signed sentence tells you who was willing to put their name to a priority ranking at a given date, which is a fact about the field's public posture, and nothing about how likely any signatory thinks the outcome is; several signatories have since given very different numbers. Weigh the list, not the sentence: it is evidence of concern across institutions, and it is not a probability.
Sources
What this record was verified against
- Center for AI Safety, Statement on AI RiskPrimary · 30 May 2023
- TechCrunch, OpenAI's Altman and other AI giants back warning of advanced AI as extinction riskSecondary · 30 May 2023
Related
Records that sit beside this one
Future of Life Institute: pause for at least six months the training of systems more powerful than GPT-4, March 2023
Global · verified 16 September 2026
The letter at futureoflife.org, dated 22 March 2023: we call on all AI labs to immediately pause for at least 6 months the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4.
Geoffrey Hinton: 10 to 20 percent risk that AI eventually takes control from humans, April 2025
Canada · verified 16 September 2026
CBS News, 26 April 2025 (CBS Mornings, Analisa Novak and Brook Silva-Braga): the AI pioneer estimates a 10 to 20 percent risk that artificial intelligence will eventually take control from humans.
Sam Altman: the pacing of AI development should be slower than it otherwise could be, September 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
AP (via ABC News), 14 September 2026, by Alex Veiga: Altman wrote that the pacing of AI development should be slower than it otherwise could be.
Pacing the Frontier statement: 1,386 industry signatories ask for tools to pace automated AI development, July 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
The statement text: we request that the US government support an international effort to develop the technical and governance tools needed to deliberately pace the frontier of automated AI development.
Open question: when a frontier lab researcher states a personal probability, what does it tell you about the lab?
Global · verified 16 September 2026
Hubinger wrote that he personally thinks the chance is greater than 10 percent within the next decade and that Anthropic does not yet have a plan to solve alignment for superintelligence (ODDS-2026-0001).
Open question: are two named people's percentages comparable when neither states a timeframe or a definition of catastrophe?
Global · verified 16 September 2026
Grace et al. 2023 report that between 38 and 51 percent of respondents gave at least 10 percent to outcomes as bad as extinction depending on the question asked, a framing effect inside one survey.
Cite this record
Free to reuse under CC BY 4.0, with attribution. The record ID ODDS-2026-0017 is permanent and is never reused.
- In a sentence
- According to the GAGE Doom Number (as of 16 September 2026), center for ai safety statement on ai risk: extinction risk a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war, may 2023.
- APA
- GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). (2026). Center for AI Safety Statement on AI Risk: extinction risk a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war, May 2023. Doom Number. Retrieved 16 September 2026, from https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0017-center-for-ai-safety-statement-on-ai-risk-may-2023
- MLA
- "Center for AI Safety Statement on AI Risk: extinction risk a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war, May 2023." Doom Number, GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education), 16 September 2026, https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0017-center-for-ai-safety-statement-on-ai-risk-may-2023.
- Chicago
- GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). "Center for AI Safety Statement on AI Risk: extinction risk a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war, May 2023." Doom Number. Last modified 16 September 2026. https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0017-center-for-ai-safety-statement-on-ai-risk-may-2023.
- Permalink
- https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0017-center-for-ai-safety-statement-on-ai-risk-may-2023
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