Future of Life Institute: pause for at least six months the training of systems more powerful than GPT-4, March 2023
The Future of Life Institute published an open letter on 22 March 2023 calling on all AI labs to immediately pause for at least 6 months the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4. The letter's page printed 31,810 signatories on 16 September 2026. It asks for a pause and for shared safety protocols; it states no probability of catastrophe. The ledger records the request and the count the page printed.
The verdict
Verified
The document exists. The ledger fetched it at its publisher and quotes it.
Key facts
What the sources say
- Record ID
- ODDS-2026-0018
- Kind
- Signed statement
- Jurisdiction
- Global
- Last verified
- Added
- The letter at futureoflife.org, dated 22 March 2023: we call on all AI labs to immediately pause for at least 6 months the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4.
- The page printed 31,810 signatories when the ledger read it on 16 September 2026; the full list loads separately and the names were not read.
- The letter states no probability of any outcome; it argues that powerful systems should be developed only once their effects are positive and their risks manageable.
- Eliezer Yudkowsky's Time essay of 29 March 2023 (ODDS-2026-0010) responded that the letter asked for too little.
Dimension by dimension
5 dimensions, each one stated, silent or open
Role at the time, Where it was said, Timeframe named, Stated basis, Later revision. Stated means the document you can open below says it; silent means the ledger read the document and it does not.
- Role at the timeStated
- Open letter organised by the Future of Life InstituteFuture of Life Institute, Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter, primary source, 22 March 2023.
- Where it was saidStated
- Published at futureoflife.org on 22 March 2023Future of Life Institute, Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter, primary source, 22 March 2023.
- Timeframe namedStated
- At least six months, for the pause requestedFuture of Life Institute, Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter, primary source, 22 March 2023.
- Stated basisStated
- The letter cites the Asilomar AI principles and the absence of planning for systems more powerful than GPT-4Future of Life Institute, Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter, primary source, 22 March 2023.
- Later revisionStated
- No pause of the kind requested took place; the page remains open for signatures as of 2026-09-16Future of Life Institute, Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter, primary source, 22 March 2023.
Figures
Every number, with who measured it and when
- 31,810 signatories
Signatories printed on the letter's page
Future of Life Institute, Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter, primary source, as of .
What it changes
For a reader deciding how much weight to give a number
An open letter tells you what a group asked for and how many people signed, and a signature count is a measure of agreement with the request, not of the probability of anything. Its value to a reader in 2026 is as a dated benchmark: what was asked in March 2023, by how many, and what has and has not happened since, all of which can be checked without anyone stating odds.
Sources
What this record was verified against
- Future of Life Institute, Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open LetterPrimary · 22 March 2023
Related
Records that sit beside this one
Center for AI Safety Statement on AI Risk: extinction risk a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war, May 2023
Global · verified 16 September 2026
The statement text at safe.ai: mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war.
Eliezer Yudkowsky: the most likely result of building superhumanly smart AI is that everyone dies, March 2023
United States · verified 16 September 2026
Time, 29 March 2023, by Eliezer Yudkowsky, titled Pausing AI Developments Isn't Enough. We Need to Shut it All Down.
Pacing the Frontier statement: 1,386 industry signatories ask for tools to pace automated AI development, July 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
The statement text: we request that the US government support an international effort to develop the technical and governance tools needed to deliberately pace the frontier of automated AI development.
Open question: when a frontier lab researcher states a personal probability, what does it tell you about the lab?
Global · verified 16 September 2026
Hubinger wrote that he personally thinks the chance is greater than 10 percent within the next decade and that Anthropic does not yet have a plan to solve alignment for superintelligence (ODDS-2026-0001).
Open question: are two named people's percentages comparable when neither states a timeframe or a definition of catastrophe?
Global · verified 16 September 2026
Grace et al. 2023 report that between 38 and 51 percent of respondents gave at least 10 percent to outcomes as bad as extinction depending on the question asked, a framing effect inside one survey.
Grace et al. 2023 survey of 2,778 AI authors: median 5 percent for extremely bad outcomes, October 2023
Global · verified 16 September 2026
The paper, Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI (arXiv 2401.02843), reports 2,778 responses from 18,459 working addresses, a 15 percent response rate, fielded 10 to 24 October 2023.
Cite this record
Free to reuse under CC BY 4.0, with attribution. The record ID ODDS-2026-0018 is permanent and is never reused.
- In a sentence
- According to the GAGE Doom Number (as of 16 September 2026), future of life institute: pause for at least six months the training of systems more powerful than gpt-4, march 2023.
- APA
- GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). (2026). Future of Life Institute: pause for at least six months the training of systems more powerful than GPT-4, March 2023. Doom Number. Retrieved 16 September 2026, from https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0018-future-of-life-institute-pause-giant-ai-experiments-letter-march-2023
- MLA
- "Future of Life Institute: pause for at least six months the training of systems more powerful than GPT-4, March 2023." Doom Number, GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education), 16 September 2026, https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0018-future-of-life-institute-pause-giant-ai-experiments-letter-march-2023.
- Chicago
- GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). "Future of Life Institute: pause for at least six months the training of systems more powerful than GPT-4, March 2023." Doom Number. Last modified 16 September 2026. https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0018-future-of-life-institute-pause-giant-ai-experiments-letter-march-2023.
- Permalink
- https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0018-future-of-life-institute-pause-giant-ai-experiments-letter-march-2023
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