Pacing the Frontier statement: 1,386 industry signatories ask for tools to pace automated AI development, July 2026
The statement at pacingthefrontier.com, dated July 2026, requests that the US government support an international effort to develop the technical and governance tools needed to deliberately pace the frontier of automated AI development. On 16 September 2026 the page printed 1,386 employee signatories with 20 listed by name, headed by John Schulman, Jakub Pachocki and Jared Kaplan. It asks for pacing tools, not a pause, and states no probability.
The verdict
Verified
The document exists. The ledger fetched it at its publisher and quotes it.
Key facts
What the sources say
- Record ID
- ODDS-2026-0019
- Kind
- Signed statement
- Jurisdiction
- United States
- Last verified
- Added
- The statement text: we request that the US government support an international effort to develop the technical and governance tools needed to deliberately pace the frontier of automated AI development.
- The page printed 1,386 signatories on 16 September 2026, of whom 20 are listed by name; the page is dated July 2026.
- The first named signatories: John Schulman (chief scientist, Thinking Machines), Jakub Pachocki (chief scientist, OpenAI), Jared Kaplan (co founder and chief science officer, Anthropic).
- The statement asks for tools to pace, not for a pause, and states no probability of any outcome; Dario Amodei's essay of 12 September 2026 (ODDS-2026-0005) uses the same word.
Dimension by dimension
5 dimensions, each one stated, silent or open
Role at the time, Where it was said, Timeframe named, Stated basis, Later revision. Stated means the document you can open below says it; silent means the ledger read the document and it does not.
- Role at the timeStated
- Signed statement by employees of AI companies, published at pacingthefrontier.comPacing the Frontier, the statement and signatories, primary source, 1 July 2026.
- Where it was saidStated
- pacingthefrontier.com, dated July 2026, read on 16 September 2026Pacing the Frontier, the statement and signatories, primary source, 1 July 2026.
- Timeframe namedStated
- None statedPacing the Frontier, the statement and signatories, primary source, 1 July 2026.
- Stated basisStated
- None stated beyond the request itselfPacing the Frontier, the statement and signatories, primary source, 1 July 2026.
- Later revisionOpen
- No later revision found as of 2026-09-16
Figures
Every number, with who measured it and when
- 1,386 signatories
Signatories printed on the statement's page
Pacing the Frontier, the statement and signatories, primary source, as of .
What it changes
For a reader deciding how much weight to give a number
A statement signed by senior scientists at competing companies tells you that a request has support inside the industry that is building the systems, which is different from a letter signed by outsiders; it still gives no probability, and the count is a count of agreement with a request. A reader should note what is asked for, tools to pace rather than a halt, because that is the position the signatories chose to stand behind.
Sources
What this record was verified against
- Pacing the Frontier, the statement and signatoriesPrimary · 1 July 2026
Related
Records that sit beside this one
Dario Amodei: we must slow the pace at which we improve AI capabilities, September 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
The essay on darioamodei.com states: we must slow the pace at which we improve the capabilities of AI models, progress will still seem fast, and we must make wise use of the time we gain.
Sam Altman: the pacing of AI development should be slower than it otherwise could be, September 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
AP (via ABC News), 14 September 2026, by Alex Veiga: Altman wrote that the pacing of AI development should be slower than it otherwise could be.
Center for AI Safety Statement on AI Risk: extinction risk a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war, May 2023
Global · verified 16 September 2026
The statement text at safe.ai: mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war.
Future of Life Institute: pause for at least six months the training of systems more powerful than GPT-4, March 2023
Global · verified 16 September 2026
The letter at futureoflife.org, dated 22 March 2023: we call on all AI labs to immediately pause for at least 6 months the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4.
Jacob Coxon: a 10 percent extinction estimate attributed to him by AP, no such statement found, September 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
AP via ABC News and PBS NewsHour, 14 September 2026: an Anthropic researcher, Coxon, estimated a 10 percent chance of AI causing human extinction within the next decade.
Paul Christiano: 10 to 20 percent chance of AI takeover with many or most humans dead, April 2023
United States · verified 16 September 2026
Fortune, 3 May 2023, by Tristan Bove, quotes Christiano on Bankless: I think maybe there is a 10 to 20 percent chance of AI takeover, with many, most humans dead.
Cite this record
Free to reuse under CC BY 4.0, with attribution. The record ID ODDS-2026-0019 is permanent and is never reused.
- In a sentence
- According to the GAGE Doom Number (as of 16 September 2026), pacing the frontier statement: 1,386 industry signatories ask for tools to pace automated ai development, july 2026.
- APA
- GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). (2026). Pacing the Frontier statement: 1,386 industry signatories ask for tools to pace automated AI development, July 2026. Doom Number. Retrieved 16 September 2026, from https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0019-pacing-the-frontier-statement-1386-signatories-july-2026
- MLA
- "Pacing the Frontier statement: 1,386 industry signatories ask for tools to pace automated AI development, July 2026." Doom Number, GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education), 16 September 2026, https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0019-pacing-the-frontier-statement-1386-signatories-july-2026.
- Chicago
- GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). "Pacing the Frontier statement: 1,386 industry signatories ask for tools to pace automated AI development, July 2026." Doom Number. Last modified 16 September 2026. https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0019-pacing-the-frontier-statement-1386-signatories-july-2026.
- Permalink
- https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0019-pacing-the-frontier-statement-1386-signatories-july-2026
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