Adam Khoja: current models are basically nation state level hackers, September 2026
Adam Khoja, a researcher at the Center for AI Safety in San Francisco, is quoted in a Las Vegas Sun piece of 11 September 2026 saying that at this point the models are basically nation state level hackers. The remark describes present capability in words and states no probability of catastrophe. The Sun page refused the ledger's fetches, so the quote rests on that outlet's own page as indexed.
The verdict
Reported, primary not reached
A reliable secondary source carries it, and the primary document could not be reached. Printed with this label, never as verified.
Key facts
What the sources say
- Record ID
- ODDS-2026-0004
- Kind
- Characterization
- Jurisdiction
- United States
- Last verified
- Added
- The Las Vegas Sun piece of 11 September 2026 quotes Khoja: at this point, the models are basically nation state level hackers.
- The Sun identifies him as a researcher at the Center for AI Safety in San Francisco; the Center's own pages list him as a special projects manager and researcher.
- The statement is about the capability of current models, not about the probability or timing of any outcome.
- The Sun's page returned 403 to the ledger's fetches on 16 September 2026; no post by Khoja carrying the sentence was found on his own site or on X.
Dimension by dimension
5 dimensions, each one stated, silent or open
Role at the time, Where it was said, Timeframe named, Stated basis, Later revision. Stated means the document you can open below says it; silent means the ledger read the document and it does not.
- Role at the timeReported
- Researcher, Center for AI SafetyLas Vegas Sun, What we learned about AI last week should terrify all of us, secondary source, 11 September 2026.
- Where it was saidReported
- Quoted in the Las Vegas Sun, 11 September 2026Las Vegas Sun, What we learned about AI last week should terrify all of us, secondary source, 11 September 2026.
- Timeframe namedReported
- None stated; the remark is about the presentLas Vegas Sun, What we learned about AI last week should terrify all of us, secondary source, 11 September 2026.
- Stated basisReported
- None stated in the quoted passageLas Vegas Sun, What we learned about AI last week should terrify all of us, secondary source, 11 September 2026.
- Later revisionOpen
- No later revision found as of 2026-09-16
What it changes
For a reader deciding how much weight to give a number
A capability characterization tells you what one researcher thinks a system can do today; it says nothing about how likely any outcome is, and a reader should not convert it into odds. Its use is narrower and more checkable than a probability: capability claims can be tested against published evaluations, which is where a reader who wants to weigh it should look next.
Sources
What this record was verified against
- Las Vegas Sun, What we learned about AI last week should terrify all of usSecondary · 11 September 2026
Related
Records that sit beside this one
Center for AI Safety Statement on AI Risk: extinction risk a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war, May 2023
Global · verified 16 September 2026
The statement text at safe.ai: mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war.
Jack Clark: we have seen warning shots and that gives us a window to act, September 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
NPR Morning Edition, 15 September 2026 (Steve Inskeep and Majd Al-Waheidi): Clark said we are not saying the threat to the world is here today; we have seen warning shots, and that gives us a window in which we can act.
Jacob Coxon: a 10 percent extinction estimate attributed to him by AP, no such statement found, September 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
AP via ABC News and PBS NewsHour, 14 September 2026: an Anthropic researcher, Coxon, estimated a 10 percent chance of AI causing human extinction within the next decade.
Pacing the Frontier statement: 1,386 industry signatories ask for tools to pace automated AI development, July 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
The statement text: we request that the US government support an international effort to develop the technical and governance tools needed to deliberately pace the frontier of automated AI development.
Paul Christiano: 10 to 20 percent chance of AI takeover with many or most humans dead, April 2023
United States · verified 16 September 2026
Fortune, 3 May 2023, by Tristan Bove, quotes Christiano on Bankless: I think maybe there is a 10 to 20 percent chance of AI takeover, with many, most humans dead.
Daniel Kokotajlo: something like 70 percent that this goes horribly wrong, July 2026
United States · verified 16 September 2026
The Diary of a CEO episode page (Apple Podcasts listing), released 13 July 2026, describes Kokotajlo as a former OpenAI researcher and says he put the odds of catastrophe as high as 70 percent.
Cite this record
Free to reuse under CC BY 4.0, with attribution. The record ID ODDS-2026-0004 is permanent and is never reused.
- In a sentence
- According to the GAGE Doom Number (as of 16 September 2026), adam khoja: current models are basically nation state level hackers, september 2026.
- APA
- GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). (2026). Adam Khoja: current models are basically nation state level hackers, September 2026. Doom Number. Retrieved 16 September 2026, from https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0004-adam-khoja-models-basically-nation-state-level-hackers-september-2026
- MLA
- "Adam Khoja: current models are basically nation state level hackers, September 2026." Doom Number, GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education), 16 September 2026, https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0004-adam-khoja-models-basically-nation-state-level-hackers-september-2026.
- Chicago
- GAGE (Global Academy of Generative-AI Education). "Adam Khoja: current models are basically nation state level hackers, September 2026." Doom Number. Last modified 16 September 2026. https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0004-adam-khoja-models-basically-nation-state-level-hackers-september-2026.
- Permalink
- https://www.gage.academy/tools/doom-number/records/ODDS-2026-0004-adam-khoja-models-basically-nation-state-level-hackers-september-2026
Last updated . Every record re verified . The ledger is checked weekly, every Monday, and the same day a named person states a new figure in public.
Back to the full ledger, or every record for United States and every characterization record.
GAGE briefings tell you which AI regulation deadlines are coming, what they actually require of you, and when a program opens.